Garrison Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Warnock 2. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 20 and the first fall freeze around October 22, a growing season of about 182 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 2, first October 13
- Median at 32°F
- last April 20, first October 22
- Median at 28°F
- last April 5, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 19 | May 14 | May 10 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 |
| 32°F | May 10 | May 3 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 |
| 28°F | Apr 24 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 21 |
| 24°F | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 7 |
| 20°F | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 21 |
| 16°F | Mar 20 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 5 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 |
| 32°F | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 |
| 20°F | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 14 |
| 16°F | Nov 16 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 21 | Dec 27 | Jan 2 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 179 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 161 | 157 | 154 | 148 | 142 |
| 32°F | 202 | 196 | 190 | 186 | 182 | 178 | 174 | 168 | 160 |
| 28°F | 226 | 220 | 216 | 211 | 207 | 203 | 198 | 192 | 185 |
| 24°F | 255 | 246 | 241 | 236 | 232 | 228 | 223 | 218 | 211 |
| 20°F | 285 | 275 | 268 | 263 | 258 | 253 | 247 | 241 | 234 |
| 16°F | 312 | 303 | 297 | 290 | 285 | 279 | 273 | 266 | 256 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,763
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 966
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,103
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,771
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,596
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,575
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,696
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 993 | 0 | 10 |
| February | 812 | 0 | 17 |
| March | 654 | 3 | 64 |
| April | 324 | 16 | 202 |
| May | 134 | 72 | 408 |
| June | 14 | 179 | 615 |
| July | 2 | 290 | 753 |
| August | 2 | 264 | 727 |
| September | 56 | 122 | 517 |
| October | 305 | 18 | 220 |
| November | 605 | 1 | 49 |
| December | 862 | 0 | 15 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 18.3 km from Garrison. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00158432 (Warnock 2). Public domain.