Flatwoods Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for S Pt. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 16 and the first fall freeze around October 30, a growing season of about 196 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 28, first October 20
- Median at 32°F
- last April 16, first October 30
- Median at 28°F
- last April 2, first November 8
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 13 | May 8 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 |
| 32°F | May 4 | Apr 28 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 |
| 28°F | Apr 19 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 |
| 24°F | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 1 |
| 20°F | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 15 |
| 16°F | Mar 15 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 11 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 7 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 |
| 32°F | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 |
| 28°F | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 |
| 24°F | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 |
| 20°F | Nov 12 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 18 | Dec 25 |
| 16°F | Nov 27 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 20 | Dec 25 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 12 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 192 | 186 | 181 | 177 | 174 | 170 | 166 | 161 | 155 |
| 32°F | 215 | 208 | 204 | 200 | 196 | 192 | 188 | 182 | 176 |
| 28°F | 241 | 232 | 227 | 223 | 219 | 215 | 211 | 206 | 199 |
| 24°F | 268 | 259 | 252 | 248 | 243 | 238 | 233 | 229 | 222 |
| 20°F | 298 | 287 | 281 | 275 | 269 | 264 | 258 | 252 | 244 |
| 16°F | 327 | 316 | 308 | 302 | 296 | 290 | 283 | 276 | 267 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,604
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,232
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,481
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,133
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,938
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,894
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,990
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 975 | 0 | 11 |
| February | 802 | 0 | 12 |
| March | 635 | 3 | 66 |
| April | 315 | 19 | 212 |
| May | 114 | 99 | 454 |
| June | 14 | 254 | 690 |
| July | 1 | 354 | 818 |
| August | 3 | 319 | 781 |
| September | 47 | 158 | 562 |
| October | 271 | 26 | 254 |
| November | 581 | 1 | 62 |
| December | 847 | 0 | 16 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 15.4 km from Flatwoods. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00337857 (S Pt). Public domain.