Fincastle Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Crestwood 4NE. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 12 and the first fall freeze around October 25, a growing season of about 193 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 24, first October 15
- Median at 32°F
- last April 12, first October 25
- Median at 28°F
- last March 31, first November 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 11 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 |
| 32°F | May 1 | Apr 25 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 |
| 28°F | Apr 17 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 |
| 24°F | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 3 |
| 20°F | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 18 |
| 16°F | Mar 18 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 | Feb 11 | Feb 5 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 |
| 32°F | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 28°F | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 |
| 20°F | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 18 |
| 16°F | Nov 18 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 19 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 191 | 184 | 179 | 175 | 171 | 168 | 164 | 159 | 152 |
| 32°F | 213 | 206 | 201 | 197 | 193 | 188 | 184 | 177 | 170 |
| 28°F | 238 | 231 | 225 | 219 | 214 | 211 | 206 | 200 | 193 |
| 24°F | 264 | 255 | 248 | 243 | 239 | 234 | 228 | 223 | 214 |
| 20°F | 291 | 280 | 273 | 267 | 262 | 257 | 251 | 246 | 237 |
| 16°F | 314 | 303 | 296 | 291 | 284 | 278 | 273 | 267 | 258 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,777
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,241
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,430
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,117
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,944
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,911
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,005
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,027 | 0 | 10 |
| February | 816 | 0 | 11 |
| March | 644 | 4 | 67 |
| April | 306 | 27 | 227 |
| May | 95 | 106 | 478 |
| June | 7 | 263 | 706 |
| July | 1 | 356 | 820 |
| August | 2 | 315 | 778 |
| September | 46 | 146 | 551 |
| October | 293 | 24 | 234 |
| November | 625 | 1 | 50 |
| December | 916 | 0 | 12 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12.4 km from Fincastle. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00151900 (Crestwood 4NE). Public domain.