Dixon Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Providence. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 7 and the first fall freeze around October 28, a growing season of about 203 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 19, first October 18
- Median at 32°F
- last April 7, first October 28
- Median at 28°F
- last March 29, first November 5
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 4 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 |
| 32°F | Apr 24 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 |
| 28°F | Apr 14 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 10 |
| 24°F | Apr 3 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 26 |
| 20°F | Mar 23 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 13 |
| 16°F | Mar 15 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 18 | Feb 13 | Feb 8 | Feb 2 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 |
| 32°F | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 |
| 28°F | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 23 |
| 24°F | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 |
| 20°F | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 21 |
| 16°F | Nov 19 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 18 | Dec 23 | Dec 27 | Jan 3 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 201 | 195 | 190 | 186 | 181 | 178 | 174 | 169 | 162 |
| 32°F | 223 | 215 | 210 | 206 | 203 | 200 | 195 | 190 | 183 |
| 28°F | 246 | 238 | 232 | 226 | 222 | 217 | 213 | 208 | 202 |
| 24°F | 271 | 262 | 255 | 250 | 246 | 241 | 235 | 230 | 221 |
| 20°F | 295 | 286 | 279 | 273 | 267 | 262 | 257 | 250 | 239 |
| 16°F | 320 | 310 | 303 | 297 | 291 | 285 | 277 | 270 | 261 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,280
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,583
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,083
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,704
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,467
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,369
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,407
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 956 | 0 | 13 |
| February | 763 | 0 | 21 |
| March | 570 | 5 | 91 |
| April | 264 | 32 | 258 |
| May | 70 | 141 | 537 |
| June | 4 | 325 | 771 |
| July | 0 | 443 | 908 |
| August | 1 | 393 | 857 |
| September | 33 | 199 | 617 |
| October | 235 | 42 | 296 |
| November | 551 | 3 | 79 |
| December | 832 | 0 | 19 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 14.6 km from Dixon. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00156595 (Providence). Public domain.