Wilson Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Wilson Lake. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 21 and the first fall freeze around October 17, a growing season of about 179 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 30, first October 9
- Median at 32°F
- last April 21, first October 17
- Median at 28°F
- last April 12, first October 26
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 |
| 32°F | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 |
| 28°F | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 28 |
| 24°F | Apr 19 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 21 | Mar 14 |
| 20°F | Apr 11 | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 |
| 16°F | Apr 1 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 24 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 |
| 32°F | Oct 3 | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 |
| 28°F | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 |
| 24°F | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 20 |
| 20°F | Oct 30 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 |
| 16°F | Nov 7 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 14 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 179 | 172 | 168 | 165 | 161 | 157 | 153 | 148 | 142 |
| 32°F | 199 | 191 | 186 | 182 | 179 | 175 | 171 | 166 | 159 |
| 28°F | 219 | 212 | 207 | 202 | 198 | 194 | 190 | 185 | 179 |
| 24°F | 240 | 233 | 227 | 221 | 217 | 212 | 207 | 201 | 194 |
| 20°F | 264 | 256 | 249 | 243 | 237 | 232 | 227 | 220 | 211 |
| 16°F | 286 | 277 | 270 | 265 | 260 | 255 | 249 | 242 | 231 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,137
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,473
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,483
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,207
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,072
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,073
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,207
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,079 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 879 | 0 | 10 |
| March | 657 | 1 | 62 |
| April | 370 | 13 | 174 |
| May | 132 | 93 | 434 |
| June | 12 | 301 | 739 |
| July | 1 | 460 | 924 |
| August | 3 | 390 | 852 |
| September | 59 | 183 | 577 |
| October | 302 | 31 | 249 |
| November | 652 | 1 | 48 |
| December | 992 | 0 | 3 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 15.8 km from Wilson. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00148946 (Wilson Lake). Public domain.