Syracuse Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Syracuse 1NE. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 1 and the first fall freeze around October 10, a growing season of about 162 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 10, first October 3
- Median at 32°F
- last May 1, first October 10
- Median at 28°F
- last April 21, first October 19
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 26 | May 19 | May 16 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 |
| 32°F | May 14 | May 9 | May 5 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 |
| 28°F | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 |
| 24°F | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 |
| 20°F | Apr 16 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 |
| 16°F | Apr 7 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 |
| 32°F | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 |
| 28°F | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 |
| 24°F | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 |
| 20°F | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 |
| 16°F | Oct 30 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 162 | 155 | 151 | 148 | 144 | 141 | 137 | 133 | 127 |
| 32°F | 178 | 173 | 170 | 165 | 162 | 158 | 154 | 150 | 143 |
| 28°F | 198 | 192 | 186 | 183 | 179 | 175 | 171 | 167 | 161 |
| 24°F | 221 | 213 | 208 | 202 | 198 | 194 | 190 | 186 | 179 |
| 20°F | 241 | 233 | 227 | 223 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 204 | 197 |
| 16°F | 262 | 253 | 249 | 244 | 239 | 235 | 229 | 223 | 215 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,424
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,217
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,012
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,776
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,688
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,731
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,909
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,087 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 874 | 0 | 5 |
| March | 675 | 0 | 48 |
| April | 398 | 6 | 149 |
| May | 154 | 67 | 391 |
| June | 17 | 254 | 687 |
| July | 2 | 403 | 866 |
| August | 4 | 331 | 792 |
| September | 67 | 142 | 529 |
| October | 359 | 13 | 194 |
| November | 729 | 0 | 26 |
| December | 1,060 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.7 km from Syracuse. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00148038 (Syracuse 1NE). Public domain.