Riley Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Manhattan. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 16 and the first fall freeze around October 19, a growing season of about 185 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 27, first October 9
- Median at 32°F
- last April 16, first October 19
- Median at 28°F
- last April 6, first October 29
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 11 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 |
| 32°F | May 1 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 1 |
| 28°F | Apr 24 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 22 |
| 24°F | Apr 15 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 |
| 20°F | Apr 4 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 |
| 16°F | Mar 26 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 20 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 |
| 32°F | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 11 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 12 |
| 24°F | Oct 21 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 25 |
| 20°F | Oct 30 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 |
| 16°F | Nov 5 | Nov 13 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 16 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 183 | 178 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 162 | 157 | 152 | 145 |
| 32°F | 205 | 198 | 192 | 189 | 185 | 180 | 175 | 170 | 163 |
| 28°F | 226 | 218 | 213 | 208 | 204 | 199 | 195 | 189 | 181 |
| 24°F | 247 | 239 | 233 | 228 | 224 | 219 | 214 | 209 | 200 |
| 20°F | 268 | 260 | 253 | 247 | 242 | 238 | 232 | 226 | 216 |
| 16°F | 289 | 279 | 272 | 267 | 262 | 256 | 251 | 245 | 234 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,112
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,520
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,590
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,313
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,172
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,158
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,275
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,111 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 879 | 0 | 9 |
| March | 658 | 4 | 67 |
| April | 341 | 20 | 199 |
| May | 111 | 111 | 469 |
| June | 8 | 309 | 751 |
| July | 1 | 467 | 931 |
| August | 2 | 395 | 859 |
| September | 54 | 180 | 577 |
| October | 293 | 32 | 254 |
| November | 656 | 2 | 49 |
| December | 1,000 | 0 | 4 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 24.3 km from Riley. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00144972 (Manhattan). Public domain.