Ness County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Ness City. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 29 and the first fall freeze around October 14, a growing season of about 166 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 7, first October 3
- Median at 32°F
- last April 29, first October 14
- Median at 28°F
- last April 18, first October 22
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 20 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 7 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 |
| 32°F | May 10 | May 6 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 |
| 28°F | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 |
| 24°F | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 23 |
| 20°F | Apr 15 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 |
| 16°F | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 19 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 |
| 32°F | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 |
| 28°F | Oct 8 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 |
| 24°F | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 |
| 20°F | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 |
| 16°F | Oct 30 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 166 | 160 | 155 | 152 | 149 | 145 | 141 | 137 | 129 |
| 32°F | 184 | 178 | 174 | 169 | 166 | 162 | 158 | 154 | 147 |
| 28°F | 204 | 197 | 192 | 189 | 185 | 181 | 177 | 172 | 166 |
| 24°F | 225 | 218 | 212 | 208 | 204 | 200 | 195 | 191 | 185 |
| 20°F | 245 | 238 | 232 | 228 | 224 | 219 | 214 | 208 | 200 |
| 16°F | 267 | 258 | 252 | 247 | 242 | 237 | 232 | 225 | 217 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,375
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,356
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,200
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,954
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,856
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,895
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,064
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,085 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 890 | 0 | 8 |
| March | 686 | 1 | 50 |
| April | 403 | 10 | 150 |
| May | 153 | 77 | 399 |
| June | 13 | 275 | 712 |
| July | 2 | 435 | 899 |
| August | 4 | 368 | 829 |
| September | 64 | 167 | 556 |
| October | 340 | 23 | 216 |
| November | 704 | 1 | 35 |
| December | 1,032 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.4 km from Ness County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00145692 (Ness City). Public domain.