Mulberry Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Joplin 24 N. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 6 and the first fall freeze around October 24, a growing season of about 198 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 19, first October 13
- Median at 32°F
- last April 6, first October 24
- Median at 28°F
- last March 27, first November 2
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 |
| 32°F | Apr 23 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 |
| 28°F | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 8 |
| 24°F | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 |
| 20°F | Mar 22 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 4 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 |
| 16°F | Mar 13 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 20 | Feb 15 | Feb 10 | Jan 31 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 28 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 |
| 32°F | Oct 8 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 |
| 28°F | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 19 |
| 24°F | Oct 28 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 |
| 20°F | Nov 3 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 |
| 16°F | Nov 15 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 13 | Dec 18 | Dec 24 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 197 | 189 | 184 | 179 | 175 | 171 | 166 | 160 | 153 |
| 32°F | 219 | 212 | 207 | 202 | 198 | 193 | 188 | 183 | 174 |
| 28°F | 245 | 236 | 230 | 225 | 220 | 216 | 211 | 206 | 199 |
| 24°F | 268 | 260 | 253 | 247 | 242 | 237 | 232 | 226 | 219 |
| 20°F | 290 | 281 | 274 | 269 | 264 | 259 | 253 | 246 | 237 |
| 16°F | 316 | 305 | 298 | 291 | 286 | 280 | 274 | 267 | 259 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,376
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,381
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,817
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,439
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,202
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,112
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,173
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 970 | 0 | 9 |
| February | 759 | 1 | 24 |
| March | 540 | 6 | 101 |
| April | 264 | 24 | 244 |
| May | 92 | 104 | 480 |
| June | 3 | 277 | 724 |
| July | 0 | 408 | 872 |
| August | 1 | 370 | 834 |
| September | 46 | 154 | 558 |
| October | 256 | 34 | 273 |
| November | 561 | 3 | 72 |
| December | 885 | 0 | 11 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 14.8 km from Mulberry. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00023908 (Joplin 24 N). Public domain.