Morris County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Council Grove Lake. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 11 and the first fall freeze around October 25, a growing season of about 194 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 21, first October 15
- Median at 32°F
- last April 11, first October 25
- Median at 28°F
- last April 1, first November 2
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 6 |
| 32°F | Apr 27 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 |
| 28°F | Apr 17 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 14 |
| 24°F | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 |
| 20°F | Mar 29 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 |
| 16°F | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 | Feb 10 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 30 | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 |
| 32°F | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 |
| 28°F | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 |
| 24°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 |
| 20°F | Nov 3 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 9 |
| 16°F | Nov 12 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 23 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 194 | 188 | 182 | 178 | 174 | 170 | 166 | 161 | 155 |
| 32°F | 215 | 207 | 203 | 198 | 194 | 190 | 186 | 180 | 173 |
| 28°F | 236 | 227 | 222 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 205 | 200 | 191 |
| 24°F | 259 | 251 | 246 | 241 | 236 | 231 | 225 | 219 | 212 |
| 20°F | 281 | 272 | 266 | 261 | 255 | 251 | 245 | 240 | 231 |
| 16°F | 302 | 293 | 286 | 280 | 275 | 271 | 266 | 258 | 249 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,948
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,523
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,686
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,384
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,221
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,191
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,290
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,086 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 861 | 0 | 11 |
| March | 633 | 4 | 73 |
| April | 322 | 22 | 212 |
| May | 105 | 109 | 473 |
| June | 8 | 302 | 744 |
| July | 0 | 457 | 922 |
| August | 1 | 404 | 868 |
| September | 52 | 188 | 588 |
| October | 280 | 34 | 264 |
| November | 626 | 2 | 58 |
| December | 973 | 0 | 5 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12.2 km from Morris County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00141867 (Council Grove Lake). Public domain.