Marquette Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Kanopolis Lake. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 19 and the first fall freeze around October 23, a growing season of about 184 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 29, first October 13
- Median at 32°F
- last April 19, first October 23
- Median at 28°F
- last April 7, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 11 | May 6 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 |
| 32°F | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 |
| 28°F | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 |
| 24°F | Apr 15 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 |
| 20°F | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 |
| 16°F | Mar 28 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 27 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 |
| 32°F | Oct 8 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 28°F | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 |
| 24°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 |
| 20°F | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 |
| 16°F | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 18 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 183 | 178 | 173 | 170 | 166 | 162 | 157 | 153 | 146 |
| 32°F | 205 | 198 | 192 | 188 | 184 | 180 | 176 | 171 | 163 |
| 28°F | 227 | 219 | 214 | 210 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 191 | 183 |
| 24°F | 248 | 240 | 235 | 230 | 225 | 221 | 216 | 210 | 203 |
| 20°F | 270 | 262 | 255 | 251 | 246 | 241 | 236 | 230 | 220 |
| 16°F | 292 | 284 | 276 | 271 | 266 | 261 | 255 | 249 | 241 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,105
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,432
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,452
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,168
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,031
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,033
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,167
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,068 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 872 | 0 | 9 |
| March | 659 | 2 | 61 |
| April | 369 | 12 | 169 |
| May | 133 | 88 | 426 |
| June | 10 | 297 | 738 |
| July | 1 | 447 | 911 |
| August | 2 | 380 | 843 |
| September | 58 | 174 | 567 |
| October | 291 | 30 | 254 |
| November | 653 | 1 | 48 |
| December | 989 | 0 | 3 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12.4 km from Marquette. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00144178 (Kanopolis Lake). Public domain.