Madison Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Emporia Muni AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 12 and the first fall freeze around October 23, a growing season of about 193 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 24, first October 14
- Median at 32°F
- last April 12, first October 23
- Median at 28°F
- last April 2, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 8 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 8 |
| 32°F | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 |
| 28°F | Apr 18 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 |
| 24°F | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 |
| 20°F | Mar 30 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 |
| 16°F | Mar 19 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 21 | Feb 14 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 30 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 |
| 32°F | Oct 9 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 |
| 28°F | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 |
| 24°F | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 29 |
| 20°F | Nov 3 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 |
| 16°F | Nov 11 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 191 | 184 | 180 | 175 | 171 | 167 | 163 | 157 | 151 |
| 32°F | 213 | 207 | 201 | 197 | 193 | 189 | 185 | 179 | 171 |
| 28°F | 233 | 227 | 221 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 204 | 199 | 192 |
| 24°F | 256 | 249 | 243 | 237 | 233 | 228 | 223 | 217 | 211 |
| 20°F | 279 | 270 | 264 | 258 | 254 | 249 | 242 | 236 | 229 |
| 16°F | 302 | 291 | 284 | 280 | 274 | 268 | 263 | 257 | 247 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,793
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,433
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,655
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,336
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,154
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,109
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,202
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,054 | 0 | 3 |
| February | 830 | 0 | 13 |
| March | 607 | 4 | 76 |
| April | 307 | 20 | 215 |
| May | 98 | 100 | 469 |
| June | 7 | 284 | 727 |
| July | 0 | 434 | 899 |
| August | 1 | 389 | 852 |
| September | 48 | 168 | 571 |
| October | 275 | 33 | 263 |
| November | 614 | 2 | 60 |
| December | 953 | 0 | 7 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 22.1 km from Madison. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00013989 (Emporia Muni AP). Public domain.