Junction City Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Milford Lake. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 12 and the first fall freeze around October 26, a growing season of about 193 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 23, first October 17
- Median at 32°F
- last April 12, first October 26
- Median at 28°F
- last April 2, first November 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 8 |
| 32°F | Apr 29 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 29 |
| 28°F | Apr 19 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 15 |
| 24°F | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 4 |
| 20°F | Mar 31 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 |
| 16°F | Mar 21 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 14 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 1 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 |
| 32°F | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 |
| 28°F | Oct 20 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 |
| 24°F | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 |
| 20°F | Nov 2 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 |
| 16°F | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 21 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 194 | 188 | 184 | 179 | 174 | 171 | 166 | 161 | 154 |
| 32°F | 214 | 207 | 202 | 198 | 193 | 190 | 185 | 180 | 174 |
| 28°F | 236 | 229 | 224 | 219 | 214 | 210 | 206 | 200 | 193 |
| 24°F | 258 | 249 | 243 | 239 | 234 | 229 | 224 | 218 | 211 |
| 20°F | 278 | 269 | 264 | 259 | 254 | 250 | 244 | 239 | 230 |
| 16°F | 299 | 289 | 283 | 278 | 273 | 268 | 263 | 257 | 249 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,143
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,414
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,453
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,179
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,036
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,030
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,155
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,108 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 892 | 0 | 8 |
| March | 657 | 3 | 65 |
| April | 357 | 15 | 180 |
| May | 123 | 94 | 440 |
| June | 9 | 284 | 724 |
| July | 0 | 436 | 900 |
| August | 2 | 376 | 838 |
| September | 56 | 177 | 573 |
| October | 288 | 29 | 253 |
| November | 651 | 2 | 50 |
| December | 1,000 | 0 | 3 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 7.7 km from Junction City. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00145306 (Milford Lake). Public domain.