Graham County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Hill City 1E. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 29 and the first fall freeze around October 13, a growing season of about 166 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 6, first October 3
- Median at 32°F
- last April 29, first October 13
- Median at 28°F
- last April 19, first October 22
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 21 | May 15 | May 11 | May 9 | May 6 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 |
| 32°F | May 11 | May 6 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 |
| 28°F | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 |
| 24°F | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 22 |
| 20°F | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 | Mar 9 |
| 16°F | Apr 6 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 21 | Sep 26 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 |
| 32°F | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 |
| 28°F | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 |
| 24°F | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 |
| 20°F | Oct 24 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 |
| 16°F | Oct 30 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 164 | 160 | 156 | 153 | 150 | 146 | 142 | 138 | 130 |
| 32°F | 185 | 178 | 174 | 170 | 166 | 163 | 158 | 154 | 147 |
| 28°F | 206 | 199 | 194 | 189 | 185 | 181 | 177 | 172 | 166 |
| 24°F | 228 | 220 | 214 | 209 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 192 | 184 |
| 20°F | 245 | 238 | 233 | 228 | 223 | 218 | 213 | 209 | 201 |
| 16°F | 266 | 258 | 251 | 246 | 241 | 236 | 230 | 224 | 215 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,739
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,196
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,833
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,629
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,570
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,647
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,858
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,125 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 939 | 0 | 5 |
| March | 734 | 0 | 38 |
| April | 439 | 5 | 124 |
| May | 182 | 61 | 359 |
| June | 20 | 242 | 672 |
| July | 2 | 404 | 866 |
| August | 6 | 331 | 790 |
| September | 84 | 137 | 507 |
| October | 383 | 16 | 181 |
| November | 744 | 0 | 26 |
| December | 1,080 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 4.9 km from Graham County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00143665 (Hill City 1E). Public domain.