Gardner Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Olathe Johnson CO AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 13 and the first fall freeze around October 24, a growing season of about 193 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 23, first October 15
- Median at 32°F
- last April 13, first October 24
- Median at 28°F
- last April 3, first November 2
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 |
| 32°F | Apr 29 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 30 |
| 28°F | Apr 19 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 16 |
| 24°F | Apr 8 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 |
| 20°F | Mar 30 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 |
| 16°F | Mar 21 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 21 | Feb 14 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 30 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 |
| 32°F | Oct 10 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 |
| 28°F | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 18 |
| 24°F | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 |
| 20°F | Nov 4 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 8 |
| 16°F | Nov 12 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 192 | 185 | 180 | 176 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 160 | 152 |
| 32°F | 211 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 193 | 189 | 185 | 180 | 173 |
| 28°F | 237 | 229 | 223 | 219 | 214 | 210 | 206 | 201 | 193 |
| 24°F | 260 | 251 | 244 | 239 | 235 | 230 | 225 | 220 | 213 |
| 20°F | 278 | 271 | 265 | 260 | 255 | 250 | 245 | 239 | 231 |
| 16°F | 298 | 289 | 282 | 277 | 272 | 268 | 263 | 258 | 249 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,976
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,416
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,546
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,251
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,091
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,066
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,174
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,093 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 865 | 0 | 11 |
| March | 627 | 4 | 73 |
| April | 323 | 17 | 201 |
| May | 105 | 102 | 466 |
| June | 7 | 291 | 735 |
| July | 0 | 428 | 893 |
| August | 1 | 384 | 848 |
| September | 53 | 161 | 559 |
| October | 292 | 29 | 246 |
| November | 637 | 1 | 51 |
| December | 973 | 0 | 6 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 4 km from Gardner. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00093909 (Olathe Johnson CO AP). Public domain.