Caldwell Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Wellington. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 15 and the first fall freeze around October 29, a growing season of about 195 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 24, first October 18
- Median at 32°F
- last April 15, first October 29
- Median at 28°F
- last April 3, first November 5
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 |
| 32°F | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 29 |
| 28°F | Apr 20 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 21 | Mar 15 |
| 24°F | Apr 11 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 2 |
| 20°F | Mar 30 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 |
| 16°F | Mar 16 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 20 | Feb 15 | Feb 5 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 2 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 |
| 32°F | Oct 14 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 |
| 28°F | Oct 22 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 |
| 24°F | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 |
| 20°F | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 12 |
| 16°F | Nov 15 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 19 | Dec 27 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 197 | 190 | 184 | 180 | 176 | 172 | 168 | 163 | 156 |
| 32°F | 217 | 210 | 204 | 199 | 195 | 190 | 186 | 181 | 174 |
| 28°F | 238 | 230 | 224 | 219 | 214 | 210 | 206 | 201 | 194 |
| 24°F | 263 | 254 | 248 | 243 | 237 | 232 | 227 | 220 | 212 |
| 20°F | 286 | 278 | 271 | 266 | 261 | 255 | 249 | 243 | 233 |
| 16°F | 310 | 302 | 295 | 289 | 283 | 277 | 271 | 264 | 255 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,543
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,642
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,988
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,636
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,429
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,365
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,437
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 997 | 0 | 3 |
| February | 788 | 0 | 14 |
| March | 575 | 3 | 84 |
| April | 307 | 19 | 214 |
| May | 96 | 113 | 485 |
| June | 6 | 324 | 768 |
| July | 0 | 482 | 947 |
| August | 1 | 438 | 902 |
| September | 37 | 217 | 631 |
| October | 234 | 44 | 306 |
| November | 580 | 2 | 71 |
| December | 922 | 0 | 6 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 31 km from Caldwell. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00148670 (Wellington). Public domain.