Arma Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Girard. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 4 and the first fall freeze around November 1, a growing season of about 209 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 15, first October 22
- Median at 32°F
- last April 4, first November 1
- Median at 28°F
- last March 26, first November 9
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Mar 31 |
| 32°F | Apr 21 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 |
| 28°F | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 7 |
| 24°F | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 26 |
| 20°F | Mar 21 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 12 |
| 16°F | Mar 14 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 8 | Feb 1 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 7 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 |
| 32°F | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 |
| 28°F | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 |
| 20°F | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 18 |
| 16°F | Nov 20 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 20 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 210 | 202 | 197 | 192 | 188 | 183 | 178 | 173 | 166 |
| 32°F | 232 | 224 | 219 | 214 | 209 | 205 | 201 | 195 | 188 |
| 28°F | 254 | 245 | 240 | 234 | 229 | 224 | 219 | 214 | 207 |
| 24°F | 275 | 266 | 260 | 254 | 249 | 244 | 239 | 233 | 223 |
| 20°F | 296 | 286 | 279 | 274 | 269 | 265 | 259 | 251 | 244 |
| 16°F | 319 | 309 | 300 | 295 | 289 | 285 | 277 | 270 | 262 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,555
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,539
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,913
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,563
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,350
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,275
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,337
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,024 | 0 | 4 |
| February | 797 | 0 | 17 |
| March | 580 | 4 | 86 |
| April | 288 | 21 | 232 |
| May | 86 | 112 | 494 |
| June | 5 | 311 | 756 |
| July | 0 | 453 | 918 |
| August | 1 | 415 | 879 |
| September | 41 | 188 | 598 |
| October | 248 | 35 | 285 |
| November | 580 | 2 | 72 |
| December | 905 | 0 | 11 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12.9 km from Arma. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00143074 (Girard). Public domain.