Wayne County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Allerton. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 21 and the first fall freeze around October 19, a growing season of about 178 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 2, first October 7
- Median at 32°F
- last April 21, first October 19
- Median at 28°F
- last April 11, first October 27
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 17 | May 12 | May 7 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 |
| 32°F | May 6 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 |
| 28°F | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 |
| 24°F | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 16 |
| 20°F | Apr 9 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 |
| 16°F | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 |
| 32°F | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 |
| 28°F | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 |
| 24°F | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 |
| 20°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 29 |
| 16°F | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 8 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 176 | 170 | 165 | 161 | 157 | 153 | 149 | 144 | 138 |
| 32°F | 196 | 190 | 186 | 181 | 178 | 174 | 169 | 165 | 157 |
| 28°F | 215 | 208 | 205 | 201 | 198 | 193 | 190 | 186 | 178 |
| 24°F | 236 | 228 | 222 | 218 | 214 | 211 | 206 | 202 | 194 |
| 20°F | 255 | 247 | 242 | 238 | 233 | 229 | 224 | 219 | 212 |
| 16°F | 273 | 265 | 259 | 253 | 250 | 246 | 241 | 235 | 229 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,363
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 874
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,357
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,212
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,188
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,284
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,511
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,328 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,075 | 0 | 2 |
| March | 824 | 1 | 34 |
| April | 457 | 4 | 118 |
| May | 184 | 47 | 341 |
| June | 24 | 175 | 602 |
| July | 4 | 300 | 761 |
| August | 8 | 239 | 696 |
| September | 102 | 93 | 445 |
| October | 404 | 15 | 166 |
| November | 792 | 0 | 23 |
| December | 1,161 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 5.4 km from Wayne County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00130149 (Allerton). Public domain.