Stuart Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Greenfield. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 25 and the first fall freeze around October 12, a growing season of about 170 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 4, first October 2
- Median at 32°F
- last April 25, first October 12
- Median at 28°F
- last April 16, first October 23
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 16 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 |
| 32°F | May 7 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 |
| 28°F | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 |
| 24°F | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 |
| 20°F | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 10 |
| 16°F | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 19 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 |
| 32°F | Sep 26 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 |
| 28°F | Oct 6 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 24°F | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 |
| 20°F | Oct 25 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 |
| 16°F | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 168 | 162 | 158 | 155 | 150 | 147 | 143 | 139 | 133 |
| 32°F | 189 | 183 | 179 | 174 | 170 | 166 | 162 | 157 | 149 |
| 28°F | 208 | 202 | 198 | 194 | 190 | 186 | 181 | 176 | 169 |
| 24°F | 227 | 221 | 215 | 211 | 208 | 204 | 200 | 194 | 186 |
| 20°F | 248 | 239 | 233 | 228 | 224 | 219 | 215 | 211 | 203 |
| 16°F | 265 | 257 | 251 | 247 | 242 | 237 | 232 | 226 | 219 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,628
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 868
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,296
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,174
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,164
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,269
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,500
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,389 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,124 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 852 | 1 | 28 |
| April | 480 | 5 | 109 |
| May | 189 | 51 | 342 |
| June | 23 | 180 | 607 |
| July | 3 | 290 | 752 |
| August | 10 | 235 | 690 |
| September | 105 | 94 | 444 |
| October | 406 | 12 | 167 |
| November | 822 | 0 | 23 |
| December | 1,226 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 25.5 km from Stuart. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00133438 (Greenfield). Public domain.