Scott County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Davenport. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 23 and the first fall freeze around October 15, a growing season of about 174 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 2, first October 4
- Median at 32°F
- last April 23, first October 15
- Median at 28°F
- last April 12, first October 24
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 17 | May 13 | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 17 |
| 32°F | May 8 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 |
| 28°F | Apr 30 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 |
| 24°F | Apr 19 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 15 |
| 20°F | Apr 7 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 |
| 16°F | Mar 29 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 19 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 |
| 32°F | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 |
| 28°F | Oct 11 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 24°F | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 |
| 20°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 |
| 16°F | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 173 | 166 | 161 | 158 | 154 | 150 | 146 | 142 | 135 |
| 32°F | 193 | 186 | 182 | 177 | 174 | 170 | 165 | 160 | 153 |
| 28°F | 214 | 206 | 202 | 197 | 193 | 190 | 184 | 180 | 173 |
| 24°F | 238 | 231 | 225 | 219 | 215 | 211 | 206 | 200 | 193 |
| 20°F | 259 | 250 | 245 | 240 | 236 | 233 | 228 | 221 | 215 |
| 16°F | 276 | 268 | 263 | 258 | 253 | 248 | 244 | 240 | 232 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,326
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 879
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,382
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,235
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,209
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,306
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,525
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,334 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,085 | 0 | 2 |
| March | 819 | 2 | 33 |
| April | 447 | 8 | 122 |
| May | 170 | 69 | 373 |
| June | 18 | 201 | 633 |
| July | 4 | 274 | 735 |
| August | 8 | 217 | 674 |
| September | 104 | 92 | 441 |
| October | 402 | 16 | 165 |
| November | 776 | 0 | 27 |
| December | 1,159 | 0 | 3 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 4.5 km from Scott County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00094982 (Davenport). Public domain.