O'Brien County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Primghar. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 29 and the first fall freeze around October 10, a growing season of about 163 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 8, first October 1
- Median at 32°F
- last April 29, first October 10
- Median at 28°F
- last April 18, first October 21
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 22 | May 17 | May 13 | May 10 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 24 |
| 32°F | May 11 | May 6 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 |
| 28°F | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 |
| 24°F | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 |
| 20°F | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 13 |
| 16°F | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 14 |
| 32°F | Sep 26 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 |
| 28°F | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 4 |
| 24°F | Oct 15 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 |
| 20°F | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 |
| 16°F | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 163 | 158 | 154 | 149 | 146 | 142 | 139 | 135 | 128 |
| 32°F | 184 | 178 | 172 | 167 | 163 | 160 | 156 | 151 | 144 |
| 28°F | 204 | 197 | 193 | 189 | 185 | 180 | 176 | 171 | 162 |
| 24°F | 223 | 216 | 211 | 207 | 202 | 198 | 194 | 190 | 183 |
| 20°F | 241 | 234 | 228 | 223 | 219 | 215 | 211 | 205 | 198 |
| 16°F | 259 | 251 | 244 | 239 | 236 | 231 | 226 | 220 | 212 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,989
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 892
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,224
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,131
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,146
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,273
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,521
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,455 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,181 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 914 | 1 | 23 |
| April | 496 | 7 | 108 |
| May | 196 | 60 | 346 |
| June | 28 | 199 | 621 |
| July | 5 | 291 | 752 |
| August | 9 | 223 | 679 |
| September | 109 | 99 | 447 |
| October | 435 | 12 | 153 |
| November | 870 | 0 | 18 |
| December | 1,291 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.4 km from O'Brien County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00136800 (Primghar). Public domain.