Moravia Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Rathbun Dam. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 18 and the first fall freeze around October 23, a growing season of about 187 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 29, first October 14
- Median at 32°F
- last April 18, first October 23
- Median at 28°F
- last April 7, first October 31
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 11 | May 6 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 |
| 32°F | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 |
| 28°F | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 22 |
| 24°F | Apr 13 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 |
| 20°F | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 |
| 16°F | Mar 28 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 |
| 32°F | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 |
| 24°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 |
| 20°F | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 |
| 16°F | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 185 | 178 | 174 | 170 | 166 | 163 | 159 | 155 | 148 |
| 32°F | 204 | 198 | 194 | 190 | 187 | 183 | 179 | 175 | 169 |
| 28°F | 226 | 218 | 213 | 210 | 206 | 203 | 199 | 194 | 187 |
| 24°F | 244 | 236 | 231 | 227 | 223 | 219 | 215 | 211 | 205 |
| 20°F | 262 | 254 | 249 | 244 | 240 | 236 | 231 | 227 | 219 |
| 16°F | 277 | 271 | 266 | 261 | 256 | 252 | 249 | 244 | 237 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,263
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 976
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,531
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,375
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,337
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,423
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,630
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,333 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,089 | 0 | 3 |
| March | 815 | 1 | 36 |
| April | 449 | 6 | 122 |
| May | 171 | 58 | 362 |
| June | 19 | 203 | 634 |
| July | 2 | 321 | 784 |
| August | 6 | 270 | 728 |
| September | 95 | 101 | 459 |
| October | 378 | 15 | 178 |
| November | 764 | 0 | 29 |
| December | 1,142 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 9.8 km from Moravia. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00136910 (Rathbun Dam). Public domain.