Mitchell County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Osage. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 30 and the first fall freeze around October 9, a growing season of about 163 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 8, first September 30
- Median at 32°F
- last April 30, first October 9
- Median at 28°F
- last April 17, first October 20
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 21 | May 16 | May 13 | May 10 | May 8 | May 6 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 25 |
| 32°F | May 12 | May 7 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 |
| 28°F | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 |
| 24°F | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 24 |
| 20°F | Apr 14 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 14 |
| 16°F | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 |
| 32°F | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 |
| 28°F | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 |
| 24°F | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 |
| 20°F | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 22 |
| 16°F | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 161 | 154 | 150 | 147 | 144 | 140 | 137 | 132 | 126 |
| 32°F | 182 | 175 | 171 | 167 | 163 | 159 | 155 | 150 | 144 |
| 28°F | 204 | 198 | 193 | 189 | 185 | 181 | 176 | 172 | 164 |
| 24°F | 222 | 216 | 211 | 208 | 204 | 201 | 197 | 192 | 186 |
| 20°F | 242 | 236 | 230 | 225 | 221 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 202 |
| 16°F | 257 | 250 | 244 | 240 | 236 | 232 | 228 | 223 | 216 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,745
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 593
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,562
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,538
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,618
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,818
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,138
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,559 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,285 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,026 | 0 | 11 |
| April | 586 | 3 | 64 |
| May | 256 | 33 | 271 |
| June | 45 | 136 | 542 |
| July | 9 | 212 | 668 |
| August | 23 | 148 | 591 |
| September | 156 | 55 | 359 |
| October | 514 | 6 | 104 |
| November | 935 | 0 | 9 |
| December | 1,352 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 8.7 km from Mitchell County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00136305 (Osage). Public domain.