Marion County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Knoxville. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 20 and the first fall freeze around October 19, a growing season of about 180 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 30, first October 7
- Median at 32°F
- last April 20, first October 19
- Median at 28°F
- last April 10, first October 29
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 12 | May 8 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 |
| 32°F | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 |
| 28°F | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 28 |
| 24°F | Apr 16 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 15 |
| 20°F | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 |
| 16°F | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 23 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 |
| 32°F | Oct 1 | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 14 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 |
| 24°F | Oct 23 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 |
| 20°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 |
| 16°F | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 179 | 172 | 167 | 163 | 159 | 156 | 151 | 147 | 141 |
| 32°F | 199 | 192 | 188 | 184 | 180 | 177 | 172 | 167 | 159 |
| 28°F | 219 | 213 | 208 | 203 | 199 | 195 | 191 | 186 | 179 |
| 24°F | 240 | 231 | 226 | 221 | 217 | 213 | 208 | 203 | 197 |
| 20°F | 259 | 252 | 246 | 241 | 236 | 231 | 226 | 221 | 213 |
| 16°F | 277 | 269 | 263 | 259 | 254 | 249 | 244 | 238 | 231 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,415
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 950
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,450
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,306
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,279
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,374
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,596
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,358 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,091 | 0 | 3 |
| March | 850 | 1 | 30 |
| April | 460 | 7 | 120 |
| May | 179 | 56 | 353 |
| June | 20 | 199 | 628 |
| July | 2 | 315 | 778 |
| August | 8 | 252 | 710 |
| September | 99 | 107 | 461 |
| October | 398 | 13 | 168 |
| November | 780 | 0 | 28 |
| December | 1,172 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1 km from Marion County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00134502 (Knoxville). Public domain.