Marcus Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Cherokee. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 4 and the first fall freeze around October 4, a growing season of about 152 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 13, first September 25
- Median at 32°F
- last May 4, first October 4
- Median at 28°F
- last April 24, first October 15
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 25 | May 21 | May 18 | May 15 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 5 | Apr 30 |
| 32°F | May 17 | May 13 | May 9 | May 6 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 20 |
| 28°F | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 |
| 24°F | Apr 29 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 |
| 20°F | Apr 20 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 24 | Mar 17 |
| 16°F | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 12 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 |
| 32°F | Sep 20 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 18 |
| 28°F | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 |
| 24°F | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 20°F | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 |
| 16°F | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 152 | 146 | 142 | 138 | 135 | 131 | 128 | 123 | 117 |
| 32°F | 170 | 163 | 158 | 155 | 152 | 148 | 144 | 139 | 134 |
| 28°F | 192 | 185 | 180 | 176 | 172 | 168 | 163 | 159 | 153 |
| 24°F | 212 | 206 | 200 | 196 | 192 | 188 | 185 | 179 | 172 |
| 20°F | 234 | 225 | 220 | 215 | 211 | 206 | 203 | 198 | 192 |
| 16°F | 252 | 244 | 239 | 234 | 229 | 224 | 220 | 215 | 207 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,404
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 755
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,842
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,791
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,850
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,028
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,328
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,491 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,221 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 962 | 0 | 16 |
| April | 555 | 5 | 80 |
| May | 241 | 46 | 296 |
| June | 37 | 168 | 582 |
| July | 8 | 262 | 719 |
| August | 18 | 193 | 640 |
| September | 146 | 74 | 388 |
| October | 497 | 8 | 115 |
| November | 908 | 0 | 13 |
| December | 1,322 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 23.3 km from Marcus. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00131442 (Cherokee). Public domain.