Lake Park Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lake Park. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 30 and the first fall freeze around October 10, a growing season of about 164 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 8, first September 30
- Median at 32°F
- last April 30, first October 10
- Median at 28°F
- last April 18, first October 20
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 20 | May 15 | May 12 | May 10 | May 8 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 |
| 32°F | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 12 |
| 28°F | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 |
| 24°F | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 28 |
| 20°F | Apr 17 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 |
| 16°F | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 |
| 32°F | Sep 26 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 |
| 28°F | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 |
| 24°F | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 |
| 20°F | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 21 |
| 16°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 163 | 156 | 151 | 148 | 144 | 140 | 136 | 131 | 125 |
| 32°F | 182 | 176 | 171 | 167 | 164 | 160 | 156 | 151 | 144 |
| 28°F | 205 | 198 | 193 | 189 | 184 | 180 | 175 | 170 | 162 |
| 24°F | 223 | 216 | 210 | 207 | 203 | 199 | 195 | 190 | 181 |
| 20°F | 239 | 232 | 226 | 222 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 207 | 200 |
| 16°F | 255 | 248 | 241 | 237 | 232 | 228 | 224 | 219 | 212 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,700
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 837
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,895
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,861
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,936
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,118
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,417
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,553 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,285 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,030 | 1 | 11 |
| April | 583 | 4 | 74 |
| May | 243 | 47 | 299 |
| June | 37 | 192 | 606 |
| July | 7 | 288 | 745 |
| August | 15 | 211 | 660 |
| September | 134 | 85 | 410 |
| October | 498 | 9 | 118 |
| November | 941 | 0 | 12 |
| December | 1,375 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.9 km from Lake Park. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00134561 (Lake Park). Public domain.