Gilbert Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Ames 8 Wsw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 23 and the first fall freeze around October 14, a growing season of about 173 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 3, first October 4
- Median at 32°F
- last April 23, first October 14
- Median at 28°F
- last April 11, first October 24
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 14 | May 10 | May 7 | May 5 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 19 |
| 32°F | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 |
| 28°F | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 |
| 24°F | Apr 19 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 |
| 20°F | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 |
| 16°F | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 21 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 |
| 32°F | Sep 29 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 |
| 28°F | Oct 9 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 24°F | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 15 |
| 20°F | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 26 |
| 16°F | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 4 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 172 | 166 | 162 | 158 | 155 | 151 | 148 | 143 | 137 |
| 32°F | 193 | 185 | 180 | 176 | 173 | 169 | 166 | 161 | 155 |
| 28°F | 212 | 205 | 200 | 196 | 193 | 189 | 185 | 180 | 174 |
| 24°F | 231 | 224 | 218 | 214 | 211 | 206 | 202 | 198 | 191 |
| 20°F | 250 | 243 | 238 | 232 | 228 | 223 | 219 | 213 | 205 |
| 16°F | 267 | 260 | 254 | 249 | 245 | 242 | 238 | 231 | 222 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,521
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 892
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,386
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,255
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,235
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,330
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,545
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,382 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,124 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 847 | 1 | 28 |
| April | 449 | 8 | 125 |
| May | 169 | 63 | 370 |
| June | 19 | 202 | 633 |
| July | 3 | 282 | 744 |
| August | 9 | 220 | 676 |
| September | 96 | 103 | 461 |
| October | 393 | 14 | 173 |
| November | 809 | 0 | 24 |
| December | 1,221 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 14 km from Gilbert. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00130200 (Ames 8 Wsw). Public domain.