Fayette Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Fayette. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 4 and the first fall freeze around October 4, a growing season of about 151 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 13, first September 25
- Median at 32°F
- last May 4, first October 4
- Median at 28°F
- last April 25, first October 15
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 28 | May 23 | May 19 | May 16 | May 13 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | Apr 30 |
| 32°F | May 17 | May 12 | May 9 | May 7 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 20 |
| 28°F | May 8 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 |
| 24°F | Apr 30 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 30 |
| 20°F | Apr 20 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 |
| 16°F | Apr 10 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 13 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 |
| 32°F | Sep 20 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 18 |
| 28°F | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 |
| 24°F | Oct 12 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 7 |
| 20°F | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 |
| 16°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 151 | 146 | 141 | 137 | 134 | 130 | 127 | 122 | 116 |
| 32°F | 170 | 164 | 159 | 155 | 151 | 147 | 144 | 140 | 133 |
| 28°F | 192 | 184 | 180 | 176 | 173 | 168 | 165 | 158 | 151 |
| 24°F | 214 | 207 | 202 | 197 | 193 | 189 | 186 | 181 | 174 |
| 20°F | 234 | 226 | 221 | 216 | 212 | 208 | 204 | 199 | 192 |
| 16°F | 254 | 246 | 240 | 236 | 231 | 227 | 222 | 218 | 211 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,767
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 523
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,420
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,397
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,491
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,704
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,043
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,539 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,282 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,020 | 0 | 11 |
| April | 596 | 2 | 61 |
| May | 271 | 29 | 255 |
| June | 54 | 118 | 515 |
| July | 15 | 187 | 637 |
| August | 30 | 133 | 567 |
| September | 174 | 48 | 337 |
| October | 523 | 6 | 98 |
| November | 926 | 0 | 10 |
| December | 1,336 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 5.1 km from Fayette. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00132864 (Fayette). Public domain.