Elkader Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Elkader 6 Ssw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 8 and the first fall freeze around October 1, a growing season of about 146 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 18, first September 23
- Median at 32°F
- last May 8, first October 1
- Median at 28°F
- last April 27, first October 11
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 31 | May 28 | May 24 | May 21 | May 18 | May 16 | May 13 | May 9 | May 4 |
| 32°F | May 22 | May 17 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 |
| 28°F | May 13 | May 8 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 |
| 24°F | May 3 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 |
| 20°F | Apr 22 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 21 |
| 16°F | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 |
| 32°F | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 |
| 28°F | Sep 26 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 24 |
| 24°F | Oct 6 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 |
| 20°F | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 |
| 16°F | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 25 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 147 | 140 | 135 | 130 | 127 | 124 | 119 | 114 | 108 |
| 32°F | 165 | 159 | 154 | 149 | 146 | 143 | 138 | 132 | 126 |
| 28°F | 186 | 179 | 175 | 169 | 165 | 161 | 156 | 151 | 143 |
| 24°F | 208 | 201 | 195 | 191 | 188 | 184 | 180 | 174 | 166 |
| 20°F | 229 | 220 | 215 | 211 | 208 | 204 | 199 | 194 | 186 |
| 16°F | 248 | 242 | 236 | 232 | 227 | 223 | 218 | 213 | 207 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,512
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 582
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,562
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,518
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,593
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,790
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,111
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,510 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,245 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 982 | 1 | 15 |
| April | 563 | 4 | 71 |
| May | 259 | 33 | 265 |
| June | 47 | 126 | 529 |
| July | 13 | 202 | 654 |
| August | 28 | 153 | 590 |
| September | 167 | 56 | 349 |
| October | 502 | 7 | 108 |
| November | 903 | 0 | 11 |
| December | 1,294 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 9.6 km from Elkader. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00132603 (Elkader 6 Ssw). Public domain.