Eldora Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Eldora. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 27 and the first fall freeze around October 10, a growing season of about 165 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 5, first October 1
- Median at 32°F
- last April 27, first October 10
- Median at 28°F
- last April 16, first October 21
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 17 | May 12 | May 9 | May 7 | May 5 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 21 |
| 32°F | May 8 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 |
| 28°F | May 1 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 |
| 24°F | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 22 |
| 20°F | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 |
| 16°F | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 |
| 32°F | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 |
| 28°F | Oct 5 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 |
| 24°F | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 |
| 20°F | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 |
| 16°F | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 3 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 164 | 158 | 154 | 150 | 147 | 144 | 141 | 137 | 131 |
| 32°F | 183 | 178 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 162 | 158 | 153 | 147 |
| 28°F | 205 | 197 | 193 | 189 | 186 | 182 | 178 | 173 | 167 |
| 24°F | 225 | 218 | 213 | 208 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 192 | 185 |
| 20°F | 245 | 238 | 231 | 227 | 223 | 218 | 213 | 208 | 201 |
| 16°F | 262 | 256 | 250 | 245 | 241 | 237 | 232 | 227 | 219 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,269
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 727
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,874
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,811
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,861
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,025
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,310
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,485 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,214 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 958 | 0 | 15 |
| April | 543 | 3 | 81 |
| May | 223 | 43 | 306 |
| June | 32 | 166 | 584 |
| July | 6 | 245 | 704 |
| August | 17 | 186 | 634 |
| September | 134 | 74 | 398 |
| October | 475 | 9 | 125 |
| November | 888 | 0 | 15 |
| December | 1,293 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.5 km from Eldora. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00132573 (Eldora). Public domain.