Dunkerton Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Waterloo Muni AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 27 and the first fall freeze around October 10, a growing season of about 165 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 6, first September 30
- Median at 32°F
- last April 27, first October 10
- Median at 28°F
- last April 16, first October 20
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 17 | May 14 | May 10 | May 8 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 |
| 32°F | May 10 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 |
| 28°F | May 2 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 |
| 24°F | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 22 |
| 20°F | Apr 14 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 |
| 16°F | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 2 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 |
| 32°F | Sep 26 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 |
| 28°F | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 |
| 24°F | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 |
| 20°F | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 |
| 16°F | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 166 | 159 | 155 | 151 | 147 | 143 | 139 | 134 | 129 |
| 32°F | 184 | 178 | 173 | 168 | 165 | 161 | 157 | 153 | 146 |
| 28°F | 204 | 199 | 194 | 190 | 185 | 182 | 178 | 172 | 165 |
| 24°F | 224 | 218 | 213 | 209 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 191 | 183 |
| 20°F | 248 | 239 | 233 | 229 | 224 | 220 | 215 | 210 | 202 |
| 16°F | 265 | 257 | 252 | 248 | 244 | 238 | 234 | 229 | 220 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,714
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 918
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,303
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,192
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,194
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,316
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,553
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,412 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,151 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 879 | 1 | 24 |
| April | 475 | 7 | 107 |
| May | 173 | 64 | 366 |
| June | 18 | 213 | 645 |
| July | 3 | 297 | 759 |
| August | 10 | 225 | 680 |
| September | 109 | 97 | 442 |
| October | 428 | 13 | 149 |
| November | 828 | 0 | 20 |
| December | 1,229 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 19.8 km from Dunkerton. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00094910 (Waterloo Muni AP). Public domain.