Armstrong Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Swea City 5N. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 4 and the first fall freeze around October 1, a growing season of about 150 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 11, first September 23
- Median at 32°F
- last May 4, first October 1
- Median at 28°F
- last April 25, first October 10
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 24 | May 19 | May 16 | May 14 | May 11 | May 9 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 |
| 32°F | May 14 | May 10 | May 8 | May 6 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 |
| 28°F | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 |
| 24°F | Apr 29 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 |
| 20°F | Apr 22 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 |
| 16°F | Apr 12 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 11 | Sep 16 | Sep 18 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 6 |
| 32°F | Sep 18 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 15 |
| 28°F | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 |
| 24°F | Oct 7 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 |
| 20°F | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 |
| 16°F | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 151 | 145 | 141 | 137 | 134 | 132 | 128 | 124 | 119 |
| 32°F | 167 | 161 | 157 | 153 | 150 | 146 | 143 | 139 | 133 |
| 28°F | 189 | 182 | 177 | 172 | 168 | 164 | 160 | 156 | 149 |
| 24°F | 210 | 203 | 198 | 194 | 190 | 185 | 181 | 177 | 170 |
| 20°F | 230 | 222 | 217 | 212 | 208 | 203 | 198 | 193 | 187 |
| 16°F | 247 | 239 | 233 | 230 | 225 | 220 | 214 | 208 | 200 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,171
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 497
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,304
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,306
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,421
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,653
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,006
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,606 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,330 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,068 | 0 | 7 |
| April | 633 | 2 | 49 |
| May | 287 | 28 | 244 |
| June | 50 | 120 | 521 |
| July | 14 | 178 | 629 |
| August | 34 | 123 | 555 |
| September | 183 | 42 | 325 |
| October | 564 | 4 | 85 |
| November | 990 | 0 | 7 |
| December | 1,414 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 15.3 km from Armstrong. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00138026 (Swea City 5N). Public domain.