Syracuse Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Northern Indiana WFO. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 24 and the first fall freeze around October 24, a growing season of about 182 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 4, first October 13
- Median at 32°F
- last April 24, first October 24
- Median at 28°F
- last April 12, first November 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 19 | May 14 | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 20 |
| 32°F | May 10 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 9 |
| 28°F | Apr 30 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 28 |
| 24°F | Apr 16 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 |
| 20°F | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 |
| 16°F | Mar 27 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 |
| 32°F | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 |
| 28°F | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 |
| 24°F | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 |
| 20°F | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 14 |
| 16°F | Nov 16 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 12 | Dec 19 | Dec 24 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 178 | 172 | 168 | 164 | 159 | 156 | 152 | 148 | 141 |
| 32°F | 201 | 195 | 190 | 186 | 182 | 177 | 173 | 168 | 162 |
| 28°F | 226 | 220 | 214 | 210 | 207 | 203 | 199 | 193 | 185 |
| 24°F | 250 | 243 | 238 | 233 | 230 | 225 | 221 | 216 | 210 |
| 20°F | 272 | 264 | 258 | 253 | 249 | 244 | 239 | 234 | 226 |
| 16°F | 293 | 284 | 278 | 274 | 268 | 264 | 260 | 253 | 244 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,154
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 745
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,213
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,052
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,027
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,131
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,368
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,257 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 1,037 | 0 | 3 |
| March | 844 | 2 | 27 |
| April | 469 | 6 | 107 |
| May | 196 | 48 | 332 |
| June | 27 | 158 | 582 |
| July | 6 | 243 | 702 |
| August | 12 | 198 | 651 |
| September | 103 | 78 | 426 |
| October | 377 | 11 | 165 |
| November | 735 | 0 | 29 |
| December | 1,091 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 8.8 km from Syracuse. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00126400 (Northern Indiana WFO). Public domain.