Spencer Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Spencer. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 20 and the first fall freeze around October 20, a growing season of about 180 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 1, first October 10
- Median at 32°F
- last April 20, first October 20
- Median at 28°F
- last April 7, first October 31
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 18 | May 12 | May 7 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 |
| 32°F | May 7 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 |
| 28°F | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 24 |
| 24°F | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 8 |
| 20°F | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 25 |
| 16°F | Mar 24 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 | Feb 12 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 10 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 |
| 32°F | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 16 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 12 |
| 24°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 28 |
| 20°F | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 3 | Dec 10 |
| 16°F | Nov 13 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 2 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 17 | Dec 23 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 178 | 172 | 168 | 163 | 160 | 156 | 152 | 147 | 140 |
| 32°F | 199 | 193 | 188 | 184 | 180 | 176 | 172 | 166 | 159 |
| 28°F | 225 | 219 | 213 | 208 | 204 | 200 | 196 | 190 | 182 |
| 24°F | 252 | 244 | 238 | 232 | 228 | 224 | 220 | 214 | 207 |
| 20°F | 276 | 267 | 261 | 256 | 251 | 246 | 242 | 235 | 228 |
| 16°F | 301 | 291 | 284 | 279 | 274 | 268 | 262 | 256 | 247 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,407
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 987
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,823
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,579
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,477
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,510
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,676
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,125 | 0 | 5 |
| February | 920 | 0 | 7 |
| March | 732 | 2 | 47 |
| April | 386 | 11 | 160 |
| May | 149 | 71 | 395 |
| June | 22 | 206 | 635 |
| July | 2 | 303 | 766 |
| August | 5 | 259 | 719 |
| September | 75 | 116 | 494 |
| October | 343 | 18 | 197 |
| November | 671 | 1 | 43 |
| December | 978 | 0 | 9 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.8 km from Spencer. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00128290 (Spencer). Public domain.