Millersburg Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Goshen Muni AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 28 and the first fall freeze around October 19, a growing season of about 171 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 7, first October 6
- Median at 32°F
- last April 28, first October 19
- Median at 28°F
- last April 17, first October 31
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 21 | May 17 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 |
| 32°F | May 13 | May 8 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 |
| 28°F | May 2 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 17 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 |
| 24°F | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 |
| 20°F | Apr 8 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 6 |
| 16°F | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 24 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 22 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 |
| 32°F | Oct 4 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 16 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 |
| 20°F | Nov 6 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 11 |
| 16°F | Nov 15 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 23 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 170 | 164 | 159 | 155 | 151 | 148 | 143 | 139 | 132 |
| 32°F | 191 | 185 | 180 | 175 | 171 | 168 | 164 | 159 | 152 |
| 28°F | 217 | 209 | 204 | 200 | 195 | 191 | 187 | 181 | 175 |
| 24°F | 244 | 235 | 229 | 224 | 220 | 216 | 211 | 205 | 199 |
| 20°F | 267 | 259 | 252 | 247 | 242 | 238 | 234 | 228 | 220 |
| 16°F | 290 | 279 | 273 | 267 | 263 | 258 | 254 | 248 | 241 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,178
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 766
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,191
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,038
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,021
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,136
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,382
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,240 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 1,040 | 0 | 2 |
| March | 847 | 2 | 28 |
| April | 483 | 6 | 104 |
| May | 203 | 55 | 333 |
| June | 30 | 176 | 595 |
| July | 5 | 245 | 705 |
| August | 12 | 191 | 645 |
| September | 108 | 78 | 423 |
| October | 400 | 12 | 155 |
| November | 735 | 0 | 28 |
| December | 1,076 | 0 | 4 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 8.2 km from Millersburg. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00014829 (Goshen Muni AP). Public domain.