Milan Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Milan 5 Ne. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 30 and the first fall freeze around October 16, a growing season of about 168 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 8, first October 6
- Median at 32°F
- last April 30, first October 16
- Median at 28°F
- last April 17, first October 26
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 23 | May 18 | May 15 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 24 |
| 32°F | May 15 | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 |
| 28°F | May 4 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 |
| 24°F | Apr 21 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 19 |
| 20°F | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 6 |
| 16°F | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 21 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 23 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 13 | Oct 18 |
| 32°F | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 29 |
| 28°F | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 |
| 24°F | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 25 |
| 20°F | Nov 2 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 |
| 16°F | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 169 | 163 | 158 | 155 | 151 | 147 | 143 | 137 | 131 |
| 32°F | 188 | 180 | 176 | 172 | 168 | 164 | 161 | 156 | 148 |
| 28°F | 211 | 204 | 199 | 194 | 191 | 186 | 180 | 175 | 168 |
| 24°F | 239 | 230 | 225 | 220 | 217 | 212 | 207 | 201 | 194 |
| 20°F | 266 | 258 | 252 | 246 | 241 | 236 | 230 | 225 | 218 |
| 16°F | 290 | 281 | 276 | 270 | 265 | 259 | 254 | 247 | 240 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,679
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 711
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,365
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,149
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,075
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,138
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,346
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,147 | 0 | 5 |
| February | 946 | 0 | 3 |
| March | 770 | 1 | 33 |
| April | 431 | 8 | 131 |
| May | 174 | 48 | 349 |
| June | 34 | 146 | 562 |
| July | 4 | 229 | 690 |
| August | 10 | 186 | 642 |
| September | 90 | 82 | 444 |
| October | 372 | 10 | 170 |
| November | 692 | 0 | 41 |
| December | 1,009 | 0 | 6 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 8.2 km from Milan. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00125658 (Milan 5 Ne). Public domain.