Lynn Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Winchester Airport 3 E. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 20 and the first fall freeze around October 21, a growing season of about 183 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 1, first October 10
- Median at 32°F
- last April 20, first October 21
- Median at 28°F
- last April 9, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 16 | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 |
| 32°F | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 |
| 28°F | Apr 25 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 26 |
| 24°F | Apr 13 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 |
| 20°F | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 5 |
| 16°F | Mar 26 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 20 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 |
| 32°F | Oct 7 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 |
| 24°F | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 30 |
| 20°F | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 14 |
| 16°F | Nov 15 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 | Dec 26 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 180 | 174 | 169 | 165 | 162 | 158 | 154 | 149 | 140 |
| 32°F | 202 | 196 | 191 | 187 | 183 | 179 | 174 | 169 | 161 |
| 28°F | 223 | 217 | 212 | 208 | 204 | 200 | 196 | 191 | 183 |
| 24°F | 248 | 241 | 235 | 231 | 226 | 222 | 218 | 213 | 206 |
| 20°F | 272 | 263 | 257 | 252 | 247 | 243 | 238 | 233 | 225 |
| 16°F | 295 | 286 | 279 | 274 | 269 | 264 | 259 | 252 | 245 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,983
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 830
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,407
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,231
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,183
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,262
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,475
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,224 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 1,027 | 0 | 2 |
| March | 822 | 1 | 29 |
| April | 447 | 9 | 131 |
| May | 175 | 66 | 367 |
| June | 31 | 184 | 603 |
| July | 4 | 258 | 719 |
| August | 11 | 203 | 657 |
| September | 93 | 94 | 455 |
| October | 372 | 14 | 180 |
| November | 719 | 1 | 34 |
| December | 1,057 | 0 | 4 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 13.6 km from Lynn. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00129678 (Winchester Airport 3 E). Public domain.