Jefferson County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Madison Sewage Plt. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 11 and the first fall freeze around October 31, a growing season of about 201 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 22, first October 21
- Median at 32°F
- last April 11, first October 31
- Median at 28°F
- last March 31, first November 10
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 8 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 |
| 32°F | Apr 28 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 28 |
| 28°F | Apr 16 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 |
| 24°F | Apr 7 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 1 |
| 20°F | Mar 28 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 |
| 16°F | Mar 17 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 | Feb 13 | Feb 7 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 6 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 |
| 32°F | Oct 15 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 14 |
| 28°F | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 29 |
| 24°F | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 12 |
| 20°F | Nov 12 | Nov 18 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 19 | Dec 25 |
| 16°F | Nov 24 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 17 | Dec 21 | Dec 26 | Dec 31 | Jan 7 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 198 | 191 | 186 | 182 | 179 | 175 | 171 | 166 | 160 |
| 32°F | 221 | 213 | 209 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 192 | 186 | 179 |
| 28°F | 247 | 239 | 234 | 228 | 223 | 218 | 214 | 208 | 201 |
| 24°F | 272 | 264 | 259 | 252 | 247 | 243 | 237 | 231 | 222 |
| 20°F | 296 | 287 | 280 | 274 | 270 | 264 | 259 | 253 | 242 |
| 16°F | 316 | 307 | 301 | 297 | 292 | 287 | 280 | 273 | 263 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,532
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,288
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,586
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,240
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,038
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,979
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,062
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 992 | 0 | 6 |
| February | 822 | 0 | 8 |
| March | 629 | 1 | 53 |
| April | 297 | 15 | 216 |
| May | 90 | 96 | 472 |
| June | 8 | 257 | 699 |
| July | 1 | 374 | 839 |
| August | 1 | 342 | 806 |
| September | 34 | 173 | 590 |
| October | 247 | 28 | 272 |
| November | 566 | 1 | 65 |
| December | 847 | 0 | 14 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6.7 km from Jefferson County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00125237 (Madison Sewage Plt). Public domain.