Fishers Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Carmel 3 E. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 21 and the first fall freeze around October 21, a growing season of about 183 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 2, first October 11
- Median at 32°F
- last April 21, first October 21
- Median at 28°F
- last April 8, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 16 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 |
| 32°F | May 8 | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 5 |
| 28°F | Apr 26 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 |
| 24°F | Apr 12 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 |
| 20°F | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Feb 28 |
| 16°F | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 14 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 28 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 |
| 32°F | Oct 6 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 |
| 28°F | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 17 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 |
| 20°F | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 13 |
| 16°F | Nov 16 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 13 | Dec 19 | Dec 25 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 181 | 174 | 170 | 166 | 162 | 159 | 155 | 149 | 143 |
| 32°F | 204 | 197 | 191 | 187 | 183 | 179 | 174 | 169 | 160 |
| 28°F | 227 | 220 | 214 | 209 | 206 | 202 | 198 | 192 | 184 |
| 24°F | 253 | 245 | 238 | 234 | 230 | 225 | 221 | 216 | 210 |
| 20°F | 275 | 266 | 261 | 256 | 252 | 247 | 242 | 236 | 227 |
| 16°F | 299 | 290 | 283 | 278 | 273 | 267 | 261 | 255 | 246 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,758
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 920
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,594
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,393
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,326
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,391
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,587
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,189 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 977 | 0 | 5 |
| March | 790 | 2 | 38 |
| April | 425 | 10 | 139 |
| May | 170 | 63 | 370 |
| June | 21 | 199 | 628 |
| July | 3 | 290 | 752 |
| August | 5 | 241 | 701 |
| September | 78 | 102 | 476 |
| October | 364 | 14 | 179 |
| November | 701 | 0 | 33 |
| December | 1,035 | 0 | 6 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.9 km from Fishers. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00121303 (Carmel 3 E). Public domain.