Clinton Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Rockville. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 30 and the first fall freeze around October 12, a growing season of about 164 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 10, first October 2
- Median at 32°F
- last April 30, first October 12
- Median at 28°F
- last April 18, first October 22
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 27 | May 20 | May 16 | May 14 | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 |
| 32°F | May 15 | May 10 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 |
| 28°F | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 |
| 24°F | Apr 23 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 21 |
| 20°F | Apr 10 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 8 |
| 16°F | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 26 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 |
| 32°F | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 |
| 28°F | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 |
| 24°F | Oct 18 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 18 |
| 20°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 2 |
| 16°F | Nov 7 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 6 | Dec 14 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 164 | 158 | 153 | 148 | 144 | 140 | 135 | 130 | 123 |
| 32°F | 184 | 176 | 172 | 168 | 164 | 161 | 156 | 151 | 142 |
| 28°F | 206 | 199 | 194 | 190 | 185 | 181 | 177 | 172 | 164 |
| 24°F | 233 | 225 | 219 | 215 | 210 | 206 | 200 | 194 | 186 |
| 20°F | 257 | 248 | 243 | 238 | 234 | 229 | 223 | 217 | 210 |
| 16°F | 280 | 271 | 265 | 259 | 255 | 250 | 245 | 239 | 231 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,635
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 917
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,708
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,491
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,402
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,438
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,605
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,195 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 956 | 0 | 5 |
| March | 752 | 2 | 48 |
| April | 380 | 12 | 166 |
| May | 145 | 72 | 399 |
| June | 20 | 199 | 628 |
| July | 3 | 279 | 741 |
| August | 5 | 231 | 691 |
| September | 79 | 107 | 480 |
| October | 349 | 16 | 194 |
| November | 698 | 1 | 42 |
| December | 1,054 | 0 | 6 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 18.5 km from Clinton. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00127522 (Rockville). Public domain.