Bremen Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lakeville. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 1 and the first fall freeze around October 13, a growing season of about 163 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 12, first October 2
- Median at 32°F
- last May 1, first October 13
- Median at 28°F
- last April 21, first October 26
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 27 | May 22 | May 19 | May 15 | May 12 | May 8 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 28 |
| 32°F | May 18 | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 |
| 28°F | May 7 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 4 |
| 24°F | Apr 23 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 24 |
| 20°F | Apr 13 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 |
| 16°F | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 |
| 32°F | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 |
| 28°F | Oct 11 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 |
| 24°F | Oct 25 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 24 |
| 20°F | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 |
| 16°F | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 19 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 161 | 153 | 148 | 144 | 141 | 137 | 133 | 128 | 122 |
| 32°F | 183 | 177 | 171 | 167 | 163 | 159 | 155 | 150 | 142 |
| 28°F | 205 | 200 | 195 | 190 | 187 | 183 | 180 | 174 | 167 |
| 24°F | 233 | 226 | 220 | 216 | 213 | 209 | 204 | 200 | 193 |
| 20°F | 258 | 250 | 244 | 240 | 235 | 231 | 226 | 221 | 214 |
| 16°F | 283 | 273 | 267 | 262 | 257 | 252 | 246 | 240 | 233 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,581
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 620
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,842
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,735
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,755
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,905
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,187
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,297 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,091 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 900 | 1 | 20 |
| April | 526 | 4 | 86 |
| May | 234 | 42 | 296 |
| June | 46 | 139 | 543 |
| July | 10 | 207 | 662 |
| August | 21 | 155 | 600 |
| September | 129 | 64 | 390 |
| October | 431 | 8 | 136 |
| November | 782 | 0 | 19 |
| December | 1,116 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 13.5 km from Bremen. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00124782 (Lakeville). Public domain.