Bicknell Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Freelandville. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 9 and the first fall freeze around October 30, a growing season of about 202 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 20, first October 20
- Median at 32°F
- last April 9, first October 30
- Median at 28°F
- last March 30, first November 8
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 |
| 32°F | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 |
| 28°F | Apr 14 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 |
| 24°F | Apr 4 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 |
| 20°F | Mar 26 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 17 |
| 16°F | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 | Feb 12 | Feb 5 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 |
| 32°F | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 |
| 28°F | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 26 |
| 24°F | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 |
| 20°F | Nov 10 | Nov 16 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 18 |
| 16°F | Nov 19 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 18 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 200 | 193 | 188 | 183 | 180 | 176 | 172 | 167 | 160 |
| 32°F | 220 | 215 | 210 | 206 | 202 | 198 | 194 | 188 | 181 |
| 28°F | 247 | 238 | 233 | 228 | 223 | 219 | 215 | 211 | 201 |
| 24°F | 271 | 262 | 256 | 251 | 246 | 242 | 237 | 231 | 223 |
| 20°F | 292 | 284 | 278 | 272 | 268 | 263 | 258 | 250 | 244 |
| 16°F | 317 | 305 | 298 | 291 | 286 | 280 | 275 | 269 | 260 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,028
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,198
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,279
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,997
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,849
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,832
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,946
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,091 | 0 | 6 |
| February | 883 | 0 | 7 |
| March | 680 | 3 | 62 |
| April | 338 | 17 | 194 |
| May | 108 | 95 | 455 |
| June | 11 | 260 | 699 |
| July | 1 | 348 | 812 |
| August | 2 | 304 | 767 |
| September | 51 | 144 | 544 |
| October | 292 | 25 | 238 |
| November | 622 | 1 | 57 |
| December | 949 | 0 | 9 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 10.4 km from Bicknell. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00123104 (Freelandville). Public domain.