Wilmington Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Channahon Dresden Isl Dam. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 16 and the first fall freeze around October 26, a growing season of about 191 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 30, first October 15
- Median at 32°F
- last April 16, first October 26
- Median at 28°F
- last April 5, first November 6
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 14 | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 |
| 32°F | May 3 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 |
| 28°F | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 20 |
| 24°F | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 |
| 20°F | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 27 |
| 16°F | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 |
| 32°F | Oct 13 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 |
| 28°F | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 23 |
| 24°F | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 |
| 20°F | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 |
| 16°F | Nov 15 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 21 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 186 | 181 | 177 | 172 | 169 | 165 | 161 | 156 | 148 |
| 32°F | 211 | 205 | 199 | 195 | 191 | 188 | 184 | 179 | 172 |
| 28°F | 234 | 227 | 222 | 217 | 214 | 211 | 206 | 201 | 194 |
| 24°F | 259 | 251 | 245 | 240 | 236 | 231 | 226 | 220 | 215 |
| 20°F | 277 | 270 | 265 | 260 | 256 | 250 | 246 | 240 | 231 |
| 16°F | 296 | 289 | 283 | 278 | 273 | 269 | 264 | 259 | 251 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,976
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 954
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,546
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,375
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,332
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,407
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,612
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,261 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 1,020 | 0 | 2 |
| March | 819 | 2 | 34 |
| April | 450 | 6 | 119 |
| May | 174 | 59 | 358 |
| June | 27 | 195 | 618 |
| July | 2 | 310 | 773 |
| August | 5 | 250 | 710 |
| September | 70 | 112 | 493 |
| October | 355 | 19 | 191 |
| November | 705 | 0 | 30 |
| December | 1,086 | 0 | 4 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 15.1 km from Wilmington. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00111420 (Channahon Dresden Isl Dam). Public domain.