Williamson County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Carbondale Sewage Plt. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 9 and the first fall freeze around October 22, a growing season of about 195 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 22, first October 13
- Median at 32°F
- last April 9, first October 22
- Median at 28°F
- last March 29, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 5 |
| 32°F | Apr 25 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 |
| 28°F | Apr 14 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 11 |
| 24°F | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 |
| 20°F | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 14 |
| 16°F | Mar 15 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 |
| 32°F | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 |
| 28°F | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 18 |
| 24°F | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 3 |
| 20°F | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 | Dec 18 |
| 16°F | Nov 18 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 21 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 193 | 186 | 181 | 176 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 160 | 154 |
| 32°F | 214 | 207 | 203 | 198 | 195 | 191 | 186 | 181 | 175 |
| 28°F | 240 | 232 | 226 | 220 | 216 | 212 | 208 | 202 | 193 |
| 24°F | 267 | 257 | 250 | 245 | 241 | 236 | 231 | 225 | 217 |
| 20°F | 293 | 284 | 276 | 269 | 265 | 259 | 254 | 248 | 241 |
| 16°F | 318 | 309 | 300 | 295 | 289 | 284 | 277 | 269 | 257 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,624
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,362
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,642
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,304
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,111
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,057
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,140
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,012 | 0 | 9 |
| February | 802 | 0 | 15 |
| March | 614 | 3 | 73 |
| April | 294 | 24 | 229 |
| May | 87 | 113 | 493 |
| June | 6 | 288 | 732 |
| July | 0 | 398 | 863 |
| August | 2 | 342 | 806 |
| September | 52 | 159 | 559 |
| October | 278 | 30 | 252 |
| November | 587 | 2 | 68 |
| December | 890 | 0 | 14 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 20.7 km from Williamson County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00111265 (Carbondale Sewage Plt). Public domain.