Wabash County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Mt Carmel. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 2 and the first fall freeze around October 31, a growing season of about 209 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 14, first October 21
- Median at 32°F
- last April 2, first October 31
- Median at 28°F
- last March 22, first November 11
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 |
| 32°F | Apr 17 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 |
| 28°F | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 |
| 24°F | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 |
| 20°F | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 9 |
| 16°F | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 23 | Feb 15 | Feb 10 | Feb 5 | Jan 28 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 |
| 32°F | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 14 |
| 28°F | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 |
| 24°F | Nov 6 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 8 |
| 20°F | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 |
| 16°F | Nov 24 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 20 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 | Jan 8 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 206 | 199 | 195 | 190 | 186 | 183 | 179 | 174 | 167 |
| 32°F | 231 | 224 | 218 | 213 | 209 | 205 | 201 | 195 | 189 |
| 28°F | 255 | 247 | 242 | 237 | 233 | 229 | 224 | 219 | 211 |
| 24°F | 280 | 269 | 263 | 258 | 254 | 250 | 245 | 239 | 231 |
| 20°F | 300 | 291 | 285 | 278 | 274 | 269 | 263 | 257 | 249 |
| 16°F | 327 | 314 | 306 | 301 | 296 | 289 | 282 | 276 | 267 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,541
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,459
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,795
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,459
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,258
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,189
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,255
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,004 | 0 | 6 |
| February | 805 | 0 | 11 |
| March | 612 | 3 | 72 |
| April | 277 | 27 | 243 |
| May | 77 | 128 | 517 |
| June | 6 | 315 | 759 |
| July | 0 | 409 | 874 |
| August | 2 | 358 | 821 |
| September | 36 | 184 | 599 |
| October | 248 | 33 | 276 |
| November | 578 | 2 | 70 |
| December | 896 | 0 | 11 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 8.5 km from Wabash County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00115888 (Mt Carmel). Public domain.