Utica Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Peru. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 24 and the first fall freeze around October 18, a growing season of about 176 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 4, first October 6
- Median at 32°F
- last April 24, first October 18
- Median at 28°F
- last April 13, first October 28
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 19 | May 14 | May 9 | May 6 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 |
| 32°F | May 8 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 |
| 28°F | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 |
| 24°F | Apr 17 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 |
| 20°F | Apr 7 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 6 |
| 16°F | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 23 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 |
| 32°F | Oct 3 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 |
| 28°F | Oct 16 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 |
| 24°F | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 |
| 20°F | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 |
| 16°F | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 15 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 173 | 168 | 164 | 159 | 155 | 150 | 146 | 141 | 134 |
| 32°F | 194 | 188 | 183 | 179 | 176 | 172 | 167 | 162 | 154 |
| 28°F | 217 | 210 | 206 | 201 | 197 | 194 | 190 | 185 | 179 |
| 24°F | 240 | 234 | 228 | 224 | 220 | 216 | 212 | 207 | 201 |
| 20°F | 262 | 254 | 249 | 245 | 240 | 236 | 231 | 226 | 220 |
| 16°F | 281 | 272 | 268 | 263 | 258 | 253 | 249 | 243 | 236 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,420
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 838
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,262
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,129
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,121
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,230
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,466
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,333 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 1,091 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 857 | 2 | 26 |
| April | 477 | 6 | 107 |
| May | 190 | 62 | 349 |
| June | 27 | 187 | 611 |
| July | 4 | 265 | 725 |
| August | 10 | 212 | 666 |
| September | 101 | 93 | 446 |
| October | 400 | 12 | 162 |
| November | 774 | 0 | 26 |
| December | 1,156 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 8.2 km from Utica. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00116753 (Peru). Public domain.