Tolono Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Champaign Willard AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 19 and the first fall freeze around October 17, a growing season of about 180 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 30, first October 8
- Median at 32°F
- last April 19, first October 17
- Median at 28°F
- last April 8, first October 28
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 15 | May 10 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 |
| 32°F | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 |
| 28°F | Apr 24 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 |
| 24°F | Apr 13 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 10 |
| 20°F | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 1 |
| 16°F | Mar 27 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 18 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 23 | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 22 |
| 32°F | Oct 3 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 |
| 28°F | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 11 |
| 24°F | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 |
| 20°F | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 |
| 16°F | Nov 10 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 20 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 178 | 173 | 167 | 163 | 159 | 155 | 151 | 146 | 139 |
| 32°F | 199 | 194 | 189 | 184 | 180 | 175 | 171 | 166 | 159 |
| 28°F | 220 | 213 | 208 | 204 | 201 | 196 | 192 | 187 | 181 |
| 24°F | 246 | 238 | 233 | 228 | 223 | 219 | 214 | 209 | 201 |
| 20°F | 271 | 262 | 255 | 249 | 245 | 241 | 236 | 229 | 222 |
| 16°F | 291 | 281 | 274 | 270 | 265 | 260 | 254 | 247 | 240 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,586
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,054
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,882
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,663
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,574
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,607
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,763
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,209 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 971 | 0 | 5 |
| March | 737 | 3 | 48 |
| April | 378 | 12 | 165 |
| May | 132 | 99 | 438 |
| June | 13 | 241 | 678 |
| July | 2 | 303 | 766 |
| August | 5 | 247 | 707 |
| September | 66 | 124 | 510 |
| October | 336 | 26 | 212 |
| November | 695 | 1 | 38 |
| December | 1,043 | 0 | 6 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6.2 km from Tolono. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00094870 (Champaign Willard AP). Public domain.