Spaulding Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Springfield Capital AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 14 and the first fall freeze around October 20, a growing season of about 187 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 25, first October 9
- Median at 32°F
- last April 14, first October 20
- Median at 28°F
- last April 3, first October 30
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 10 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 |
| 32°F | Apr 29 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 |
| 28°F | Apr 18 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 17 |
| 24°F | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 5 |
| 20°F | Mar 30 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 23 |
| 16°F | Mar 20 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 13 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 |
| 32°F | Oct 5 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 16 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 14 |
| 24°F | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 |
| 20°F | Nov 2 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 10 |
| 16°F | Nov 11 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 21 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 186 | 179 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 161 | 157 | 152 | 144 |
| 32°F | 208 | 201 | 196 | 191 | 187 | 183 | 178 | 173 | 165 |
| 28°F | 230 | 222 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 205 | 200 | 196 | 189 |
| 24°F | 255 | 247 | 241 | 236 | 230 | 225 | 221 | 215 | 208 |
| 20°F | 278 | 269 | 264 | 257 | 253 | 248 | 242 | 236 | 228 |
| 16°F | 297 | 290 | 282 | 277 | 272 | 267 | 262 | 256 | 247 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,215
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,252
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,273
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,005
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,874
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,870
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,994
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,150 | 0 | 3 |
| February | 913 | 0 | 9 |
| March | 681 | 3 | 60 |
| April | 336 | 19 | 195 |
| May | 111 | 112 | 469 |
| June | 11 | 270 | 709 |
| July | 1 | 357 | 821 |
| August | 3 | 308 | 770 |
| September | 61 | 151 | 542 |
| October | 310 | 30 | 236 |
| November | 648 | 1 | 54 |
| December | 993 | 0 | 7 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12.5 km from Spaulding. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00093822 (Springfield Capital AP). Public domain.