Southern View Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Springfield #2. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 15 and the first fall freeze around October 22, a growing season of about 188 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 27, first October 13
- Median at 32°F
- last April 15, first October 22
- Median at 28°F
- last April 5, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 13 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 |
| 32°F | Apr 30 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 |
| 28°F | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 21 |
| 24°F | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 |
| 20°F | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 26 |
| 16°F | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 14 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 29 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 |
| 32°F | Oct 9 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 |
| 28°F | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 |
| 24°F | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 |
| 20°F | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 |
| 16°F | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 21 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 185 | 180 | 175 | 171 | 167 | 164 | 160 | 154 | 147 |
| 32°F | 206 | 200 | 196 | 192 | 188 | 184 | 180 | 175 | 169 |
| 28°F | 230 | 224 | 219 | 215 | 210 | 207 | 203 | 198 | 191 |
| 24°F | 254 | 247 | 241 | 237 | 232 | 227 | 223 | 218 | 211 |
| 20°F | 276 | 269 | 262 | 257 | 252 | 248 | 243 | 238 | 230 |
| 16°F | 296 | 287 | 280 | 274 | 269 | 265 | 261 | 254 | 247 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,455
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,094
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,947
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,706
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,608
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,636
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,796
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,171 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 942 | 0 | 8 |
| March | 733 | 4 | 53 |
| April | 377 | 11 | 163 |
| May | 138 | 84 | 415 |
| June | 11 | 240 | 679 |
| July | 2 | 334 | 797 |
| August | 6 | 278 | 738 |
| September | 72 | 122 | 502 |
| October | 331 | 21 | 207 |
| November | 668 | 1 | 40 |
| December | 1,006 | 0 | 5 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 4.8 km from Southern View. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00118186 (Springfield #2). Public domain.