Shelby County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Shelbyville Dam. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 10 and the first fall freeze around October 24, a growing season of about 195 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 22, first October 14
- Median at 32°F
- last April 10, first October 24
- Median at 28°F
- last March 31, first November 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 9 | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 |
| 32°F | Apr 28 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 |
| 28°F | Apr 14 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 |
| 24°F | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 |
| 20°F | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 23 |
| 16°F | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 | Feb 10 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 30 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 |
| 32°F | Oct 8 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 28°F | Oct 20 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 21 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 4 |
| 20°F | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 |
| 16°F | Nov 16 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 | Dec 25 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 192 | 186 | 181 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 159 | 153 |
| 32°F | 214 | 207 | 204 | 199 | 195 | 191 | 186 | 181 | 175 |
| 28°F | 238 | 231 | 226 | 221 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 203 | 197 |
| 24°F | 263 | 254 | 249 | 243 | 238 | 234 | 230 | 223 | 217 |
| 20°F | 282 | 274 | 269 | 263 | 258 | 255 | 250 | 244 | 235 |
| 16°F | 303 | 295 | 288 | 283 | 278 | 272 | 267 | 260 | 252 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,321
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,186
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,131
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,883
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,769
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,781
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,919
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,161 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 924 | 0 | 7 |
| March | 716 | 3 | 50 |
| April | 356 | 13 | 179 |
| May | 122 | 91 | 438 |
| June | 11 | 250 | 688 |
| July | 1 | 351 | 815 |
| August | 2 | 304 | 767 |
| September | 54 | 147 | 544 |
| October | 308 | 27 | 231 |
| November | 664 | 1 | 45 |
| December | 1,003 | 0 | 5 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.3 km from Shelby County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00117876 (Shelbyville Dam). Public domain.